Premier League 2018/19 preview: Liverpool likeliest to push Manchester City in title battle

Manchester City signalled their intentions to continue where they left off in the Community Shield victory over Chelsea, but Pep Guardiola knows a repeat of last season’s exploits will be difficult.

The Catalan failed to win any silverware in his first season in England, while the Premier League has not been retained since Manchester United in 2009, but you get the sense that he is just embarking on his work on these shores.

Competition for places has been boosted by the return to fitness of Benjamin Mendy, while Phil Foden looks ready for this level despite only just turning 18; Aymeric Laporte will be better for his first pre-season at the club, and the only area that City appear slightly light in is cover for Fernandinho at the base of midfield.

Jose Mourinho can only wish for such minor concerns. United were a distant second last season, 19 points adrift, and the Portuguese admits he is relieved a tumultuous summer is coming to an end. He has been unable to strengthen his first-team squad beyond the arrivals of Fred and Diogo Dalot, both of whom will take time to adjust to England.

Liverpool have been hailed by many as the summer’s big winners having kept hold of their star names and added four keys signings to bolster their hopes of a first league title since 1990. The 5-0 dismantling of Napoli in Dublin was further proof of their credentials, and Jurgen Klopp has identified and acted upon areas of weakness.

Tottenham head into a new era at a new stadium having committed Mauricio Pochettino and Harry Kane to long-term contracts, but a failure to bring in new faces in addition to the uncertainty surrounding the future of Toby Alderweireld means supporters are understandably concerned about whether a title challenge is possible in this transitional year.

Manchester City v Chelsea - FA Community Shield

Both Arsenal and Chelsea are under new management and face the prospect of a season dictated by Thursday-Sunday football due to their Europa League commitments; while Unai Emery can reflect upon an unbeaten pre-season within 90 minutes, Maurizio Sarri has swiftly become aware of the difficulties he faces, from choosing his preferred formation to having the right personnel to carry out his tactics.

Chelsea are likely to be without Thibaut Courtois, who has refused to return to training, while Eden Hazard has already set his heart on a move to Real Madrid. Losing both at this stage of the window would be catastrophic to the club’s chances of at least returning to the top four.

With two of the traditional top six at a stage in their cycles that is far from conducive to a title tilt, it does open the door to a possible outsider to break the status quo. Everton had been expected to do so last term, but poor investment left a lopsided squad that did well to recover eighth place. Marco Silva has been streamlining, but defensive weaknesses are yet to be fully addressed, so patience will be needed.

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West Ham co-owners David Gold and David Sullivan backed their new manager Mauricio Pellegrini by bringing in seven new recruits, spearheaded by club-record signing Felipe Anderson, while Jack Wilshere will be hoping to have more joy than Joe Hart in relaunching his career in East London. An intriguing season awaits even if the long-term absence of Manuel Lanzini comes as a major blow.

Leicester manager Claude Puel has thus far been frugal in the market since the departure of Riyad Mahrez, and while Jonny Evans’ arrival for £3.5m could prove the snip of the season, a lot rests on whether they can keep Harry Maguire away from the clutches of United. Kelechi Iheanacho has enjoyed a productive pre-season, scoring four goals in three games, and Foxes fans will hope he can fill the void in supporting Jamie Vardy.

Newcastle finished 10th last campaign, but that was largely due to a terrific spike in results after March, and with the players fighting with the club over bonuses, optimism is in short supply on Tyneside. A lot will depend on whether Rafa Benitez stays, but the Spaniard has at least secured striker Salomon Rondon, a player he rates highly and is capable of becoming a cult figure at St. James’ Park.

Another side who finished last season strongly are Crystal Palace under Roy Hodgson. The Eagles have thus far managed to keep hold of Wilfried Zaha despite interest from Chelsea and Tottenham, and the arrival of Max Meyer is somewhat of a coup, offsetting the return of Ruben Loftus-Cheek to Chelsea following his loan spell. If Palace can avoid their annual poor start, a productive campaign awaits.

Crystal Palace v Toulouse - Pre-Season Friendly

Bournemouth have taken their time to quietly go about their business with David Brooks joining from Sheffield United, while Diego Rico and Jefferson Lerma have cost a combined £35m, a year after they joined Levante and Leganes respectively for less than £1m. Eddie Howe will continue to play enterprising football that will win games, and keeping hold of Lewis Cook is a major boost, but the club are yet to strengthen at centre-half having conceded 61 goals last term.

Burnley were the surprise package in 2017/18, set on day one by their 3-2 win at champions Chelsea – but they have only added Ben Gibson and Joe Hart to a squad that will be stretched to the limit if they reach the Europa League group stage. Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes are one of the most underrated partnerships in the league, but clubs will be far more alert to their danger this time around. Sean Dyche will have a dilemma when all three of his goalkeepers are fit.

Watford, Brighton, Huddersfield and Southampton – four teams who ended within five points of each other last time out – will all target consolidation but the strength of two of the promoted sides means another wide-open relegation battle looms. Javi Gracia initially steadied the ship at Watford following the departure of Silva, but a poor end to the season and the sale of Richarlison points to an arduous nine months ahead.

Watford v Sampdoria - Pre-Season Friendly

Brighton have added Alireza Jahanbakhsh for a club-record fee in the region of £17m and his versatility across the forward line will take the burden off Pascal Gross. Goals could again prove hard to come by with just 34 scored last term (the fourth fewest), so Chris Hughton’s search for a central defender in the coming days takes on greater significance.

Southampton moved to appoint Mark Hughes on a permanent basis after he managed to keep the club up at the expense of Swansea City, but the 3-0 home defeat to Borussia Monchengladbach in their final pre-season game underlines fears that were heightened by Hughes’ admission the further business is unlikely to be forthcoming. Stuart Armstrong will be keen to prove a point having made the £7m switch from Celtic.

Huddersfield performed miracles in staying afloat last season, with Jonas Lossl’s heroics in the 1-1 draw at Chelsea epitomising the team ethos under David Wagner. The Terriers have a new badge while there have been eight new arrivals which have included Terence Kongolo and Florent Hadergjonaj’s loans being made permanent. The players now know what to expect, but offloading Tom Ince to Stoke for £12m could come back to haunt them given their dearth of creative options.

Such attacking flair propelled Wolves and Fulham back into the top flight, and both can be confident of avoiding a relegation scrap. Nuno Espirito Santo has become the Pied Piper of the West Midlands in coaxing big names to the Premier League newcomers; it is a project that will either catch fire or spectacularly fail, but the quality and experience of Rui Patricio and Joao Moutinho means a mid-table finish should be the target.

Fulham v Sampdoria - Pre-Season Friendly

Fulham have enjoyed a fruitful pre-season with the surprise addition of Jean Michel Seri, while there was a surprising lack of competition in attracting Alfie Mawson and Aleksandar Mitrovic on a permanent deal. Slavisa Jokanovic is hopeful of adding Calum Chambers on loan from Arsenal with Southampton now reluctant to strengthen a potential rival by selling Matt Targett. A lot will depend on how Ryan Sessegnon adjusts to the step-up in class having scored 16 Championship goals last term.

Cardiff City manager Neil Warnock admits it would be his biggest achievement in football if he manages to keep his odds-on relegation favourites up, but with very little pressure on the Bluebirds, they will take heart from Huddersfield’s maiden Premier League season. Warnock will relish coming up against the likes of Guardiola, Mourinho and Klopp for what could his final time, so expect fireworks if nothing else.

Predicted Premier League table

  1. Manchester City
  2. Liverpool
  3. Tottenham
  4. Arsenal
  5. Manchester United
  6. Chelsea
  7. Everton
  8. West Ham
  9. Crystal Palace
  10. Leicester City
  11. Wolves
  12. Burnley
  13. Fulham
  14. Bournemouth
  15. Newcastle
  16. Brighton
  17. Southampton
  18. Watford
  19. Huddersfield
  20. Cardiff City

Manchester City en busca de la perfección, ¿pero cómo puede ser conquistado?

Todo parece indicar que Pep Guardiola se detendrá ante nada en busca de la perfección.

“Con 93 goles a favor, 25 en contra y 87 puntos en 33 jornadas, el brillo del recorrido no tiene precedentes,” dice el reportaje en El País este lunes.

El entrenador de Manchester City avisó que jugaría al golf ayer por la tarde tras vencer al Tottenham en Wembley (3:1) – haciéndose eco de la crónica mitológica de Sir Alex Ferguson en los greens de Mottram Hall, en Cheshire 25 anos atrás cuando el Oldham derrotó al Aston Villa para confirmar su primer título de Liga de los 13 ganado con el Manchester United.

Pero Guardiola sabe que su equipo debe mantener el ritmo para acabar la campaña batiendo récords de victorias, puntos y goles.

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City puede superar el récord de Chelsea por el numero de victorias en una temporada: ya tiene 28 triunfos, y solo necesita tres más en los últimos cinco partidos para alcanzar el clima delante de los 30 conseguido por Los Blues el año pasado.

Los campeones de Conte establecieron un record de 15 victorias fuera de casa en la temporada 2016/17, y City solo falta una para emparejar el hito.

El equipo de Guardiola todavía tiene partidos fuera del Etihad Stadium contra West Ham y un débil Southampton a St Mary’s en la ultima ronda.

Los Citizens ya tiene 87 puntos después de 33 partidos, así que hay 15 puntos disponible – cabe la posibilidad de que alcancen 102 puntos con cinco victorias más para establecer un record de puntos en la Premier.

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El Chelsea anotó 95 puntos en 2004/05 mientras que sus campeones de 2009/10 marcaron 103 goles. El City solo necesita 11 goles más para subir este record.

Lo mejor diferencia de goles fue establecido por el equipo de Carlo Ancelotti en 2010 también, con +71 pero el City ya tiene +68 antes de los últimos cinco partidos.

La sorprendente derrota de Manchester United contra West Brom supuso la primera liga de un entrenador español en Inglaterra, y el City mantuvo su ventaja de 16 puntos a la cumbre. Los campeones tienen en su punto de mira el record de 18 puntos de ventaja conseguido por sus vecinos en 2001.

“Somos los maestros de la complicación,” dijo José Mourinho tras la derrota. Pero Guardiola no ha perdido su identidad y sabe que hay mucho trabajo por hacer para coronarse campeón de la Premier League por cuarto vez el próximo ano.

“Claro que la figura de Guardiola divide la gente en España,” dijo periodista español Guillem Balague a Sky Sports.

“Hasta este punto, existen los que han sido vencido a él que han buscado una excusa para explicar los eventos mientras que hay otras que tenían éxito contra el entrenador, y ahora le felicitan sobre el éxito.

Manchester City v Leicester City - Premier League

“Sinceramente, la única cosa que la prensa y el pueblo español necesitan hacer es leer las estadísticas para admirar el catalán después de una temporada inolvidable.

“Incluso los periódicos de Madrid aquí en España son lleno de admiración por Guardiola, no solo por el hecho de que ganó el titulo sino también que lo ha hecho con estilo, adhiriéndose a sus principios, estableciendo nuevos records en el proceso.”

Guardiola no quiso llegar a un acuerdo entre su filosofía y una estrategia mas pragmática. Ha confirmado que puede ganar títulos en Inglaterra.

El entrenador tiene historia de quitar sus clubes después de poco tiempo – tres temporadas como visto en Bayern de Múnich – pero Balague piensa que el proyecto al City es solo al inicio.

“La razón por la cual no prolongó su estancia al Camp Nou en 2012 no fue relacionado a los resultados en el campo,” añado el periodista. “Sino una falta de apoyo mostrado por la junta directiva después del salido del expresidente, Joan Laporta.

“Cuando era en Alemania, tenía que defender y contestar sus métodos con frecuencia, incluso si el Bayern ganara. Tenía que explicar a la prensa y a sus jugadores el proceso de pensamiento y no había una sinergia con la junta directiva.”

Por otra parte, las opiniones no están dividas en el pueblo City. Sus amigos – Txiki Begiristain y Ferran Soriano – tienen las llaves mientras que las instalaciones están entre los mejores en el mundo.

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La plantilla ya esta creada en su imagen, con la promesa de mas fichajes este verano. Kevin De Bruyne, a pesar de ser comprado bajo la dirección de Manuel Pellegrini, esta considerado como emblemático de los métodos de Guardiola.

Eso es una plantilla joven lleno de potencial, y la falta de sostenibilidad mostrado por los últimos campeones ingleses es otro factor en la decisión esperada de firmar un nuevo contrato a largo plazo.

Guardiola le ha asaltado el mercado español en el pasado, con la llegado de Aymeric Laporte hace cuatro meses, pero va a ser mas difícil encontrar jugadores del nivel suficiente este verano para mejorar la plantilla.

El club se ha gastado más de 500 millones de euros desde 2016, pero Balague concluyo, “Si están buscando por un delantero, un lateral o centrocampista defensiva, va a ser complicado dado a la falta de opciones adecuadas en La Liga.”

Es inconcebible que la liga más extenuante de Europa va a ser tan fácil para ganar el año que viene.

El refuerzo visto en Liverpool bajo el entrenador Jurgen Klopp y el cambio probable en el liderazgo a Chelsea son solo dos rivales de la corona. El acto de crear una dinastía a City será lo más exigente desafío en la carrera de Pep.